Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.731061 0.934589 1.163101 1.435726 1.749198 2.095562 2.504378
2025-05-18 0.459682 0.716230 1.040737 1.467780 2.001651 2.634508 3.428652
2025-05-25 0.271595 0.529941 0.900916 1.437496 2.160113 3.068373 4.264523
2025-06-01 0.182392 0.443154 0.863330 1.520542 2.457971 3.687863 5.363526
2025-06-08 0.110668 0.349763 0.787611 1.529153 2.646608 4.171361 6.312120
2025-06-15 0.077131 0.309628 0.783642 1.637336 2.976668 4.855549 7.548620
2025-06-22 0.049840 0.265102 0.758014 1.702302 3.242191 5.458980 8.696933
2025-06-29 0.029353 0.220324 0.717481 1.732037 3.450339 5.985528 9.754327
2025-07-06 0.013868 0.170355 0.648396 1.697123 3.548245 6.351549 10.595967
2025-07-13 0.006763 0.141108 0.615573 1.721162 3.738009 6.854712 11.640015
2025-07-20 0.002748 0.115725 0.582259 1.736885 3.910871 7.334801 12.660143
2025-07-27 0.000564 0.086917 0.525449 1.693528 3.975633 7.648524 13.444566
2025-08-03 0.000015 0.061778 0.465946 1.635450 4.012789 7.926556 14.195560
2025-08-10 NaN 0.048300 0.438916 1.645340 4.172055 8.401534 15.249886
2025-08-17 NaN 0.033347 0.392650 1.599764 4.222945 8.703087 16.051437
2025-08-24 NaN 0.029629 0.397267 1.682165 4.521490 9.414418 17.485560
2025-08-31 NaN 0.022195 0.374182 1.687790 4.669981 9.882838 18.559134
2025-09-07 NaN 0.021150 0.390184 1.801499 5.037121 10.722011 20.214282
2025-09-14 NaN 0.018158 0.390047 1.869786 5.315816 11.419610 21.662791
2025-09-21 NaN 0.014226 0.377692 1.900938 5.520027 11.996308 22.933541
2025-09-28 NaN 0.009128 0.344334 1.863433 5.579730 12.328521 23.829131
2025-10-05 NaN 0.006755 0.332403 1.888910 5.770891 12.888297 25.087693
2025-10-12 NaN 0.004754 0.318631 1.905588 5.942894 13.417400 26.304223